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Michael Ubaldi, November 5, 2003.
The White House, stuck between a rock and a hard place with North Korea, still hasn't lost its spirit: The United States and its key allies agreed Wednesday to suspend construction of two nuclear power plants in North Korea, saying that the energy-starved communist state won't get them unless it gives up its nuclear weapons program.
BY THE WAY: The title is from "My Name is Jonas," off of Weezer's blue album. I'm sure you've noticed that those shady spamware-and-popup-window companies appear to have amassed the lyrics for thousands of popular songs on scores of different websites. So here's the real question: does it creep you out as much as it does me? Michael Ubaldi, November 5, 2003.
Since the days of the indomitable Shigeru Yoshida*, whose staggered terms in the late Forties and early Fifties as Japanese Prime Minister often proved to be a match of wills for even Douglas MacArthur, the Liberal Democratic Party has enjoyed as uninterrupted a reign as any national political force could hope for. In the postwar period, politics in Japan have been observed as "the game across the street," where a combination of strict election laws and institutionalized special interests has distanced the political class from the general public - resulting in a powerful establishment executing sedentary policies for a somewhat ambivalent electorate. A series of corruption scandals shattered the LDP's Diet majority in 1993, but the party quickly recovered and has assumed a strong position in every coalition since. In late September, Junichiro Koizumi was reelected by his majority as Prime Minister and vowed to proceed with implementing promised market reforms - badly needed by Japan's stammering economy. Which makes this development all the more intriguing: Nobody expects Japan's main opposition party to dethrone Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's ruling Liberal Democrats in elections this weekend. But they might pull within range of another elusive goal -- the creation of a viable two-party system.
* Or Yoshida Shigeru; I went surname-first this time. Michael Ubaldi, October 31, 2003.
Colin Powell may not have sipped champagne with Kim Jong Il, but the White House has spent the last year in endless deliberation about what to do with the nuke-tipped pariah state of North Korea. Oh, there have been talks but they are just that: talks. Though President Bush would never have called North Korea out as a member of the Axis of Evil if the DPRK weren't embroiled in the same markets and politics of terror as Iraq and Iran, Saddam Hussein lost power first in part because the DPRK had one thing Ba'athists lacked - fully researched nuclear weapons. The deterrent is an unimaginably powerful one - hence Bush's warnings against allowing the threat of atomics in Baghdad to mature - and it strips the American playbook against Pyongyang to only a few pages. With political capital, brave lives and domestic resources invested in Iraq, a North Korean solution seems to benefit from the biding of America's time - without being treaty-suckered - for at least a year or two. Steven Den Beste settled on a frighteningly skeptical assessment of the free world's options, but offers this relatively comforting thought: What the Chinese have been trying to do until now was to finesse the situation so that we (the US) would solve it by giving in to NK's demands. If only the US would cave, placate NK, and more or less resume the terms of the 1994 agreement as implemented. Which is to say, we would ship grain and oil to NK and not insist that NK live up to any part of the bargain. Then tension would subside and everyone could heave a sigh of relief and stop worrying about it, for a few years anyway.
At the outset, setting Kim Jong Il's oppression and aggression under the spotlight would draw new statements of condemnation from responsible democratic countries and at least partially disrupt illicit trade and deals with Pyongyang from unscrupulous ones. With South Korea and Japan as staging grounds similar to Kuwait and Qatar, a force like the one occupying Iraq could be assembled for the inevitable demolition of North Korea's brutal regime. Would weapons of mass destruction be used? Saddam didn't use his, and it becomes more apparent by the day that he destroyed evidence of standby research programs and stashed whatever was functional. Though the White House is therefore knee-deep in opportunists who'd rather believe Saddam to be the honest broker, a political problem is far preferable to one made of ricin, VX or anthrax. Yet no one knows for certain what Pyongyang would do, and that's why Kim Jong Il's nationwide concentration camp still runs. Even if tossing the hot-potato around with China and agreeing with Pyongyang on a framework du jour averts the appearance of disaster, Steven and others rightly acknowledge that North Korea's active weapons black market could very easily cause the same holocaust we fear in the Pacific to occur on our shores via terrorists. There's a touch of Munich Agreement in every treaty signed with dictators. Now, we dither. And wait. Just as important as the safety of the world from the DPRK, however, is the plight of those who suffer under the Stalinist regime. What good is a fragile peace when it is at the expense of others? Michael Ubaldi, October 23, 2003.
Taiwan has every reason to doubt China's motives, even when they publicly aspire to such an admirable feat as sending a man to the moon: To the Taiwanese government, it was as if China's historic space mission did not happen.
Like any military real estate, mastery is decided by combat. The ability to control low orbit by destroying the communications networks of enemies and rivals would give any nation a powerful - even crippling - advantage. Land, sea, air, space: war can and will be waged there. Should every prospective space launch from any country be viewed with suspicion? Perhaps, only in the sense that it's absurd to think a nation could ignore opportunities for military technology unlocked by even rudimentary space travel; we could be sure a head of state making grandiose statements of exploration and galactic wonderment would be telling only half the story. But more importantly are the intended uses for such potential. If China were a liberal democracy, the situation would be much, much different. With a century of dictators and their carnage in the industrial age directly behind us, we ought to know better. Michael Ubaldi, October 21, 2003.
Koorosh Afshar's latest is on the miraculous awarding of the Nobel peace prize to Iranian activist Dr. Shireen Ebadi. A few tones of Jeffersonian secularism in this one: It was a good tiding for us that a woman from amongst our compatriots, Dr.Shireen Ebadi, won the Noble peace prize. We sincerely hope that this will bolster secularization of our mindset and bring about meaningful and substratal change in our country. And it will have to, after all, for there is no other way for the future of our nation. Let us not forget that talk about reforms so long as the militant Islamists are in power, is simply futile. The first and foremost task for a person like Dr. Ebadi is to help represent the Iranian nationalist psyche and identity in the world. In that regard, her religion (whether compatible or at odds with the basic human rights) is quite impertinent as religion is merely a private matter and it must not and will not have any place in the future political system of Iran.
Michael Ubaldi, October 15, 2003.
Christopher Hitchens gets it right again. He recently interviewed the grandson of infamous theocrat Ayatollah Khomeni; the young man is a cleric himself, and an upstart enemy of the extremist religious establishment in Iran - so a natural ally to our cause of liberation. He knows what he wants: It's not strictly necessary to speak to Hossein Khomeini to appreciate the latter point: Every visitor to Iran confirms it, and a large majority of the Iranians themselves have voted for anti-theocratic candidates. The entrenched and reactionary regime can negate these results up to a certain point; the only question is how long can they do so? Young Khomeini is convinced that the coming upheaval will depend principally on those who once supported his grandfather and have now become disillusioned. I asked him what he would like to see happen, and his reply this time was very terse and did not require any Quranic scriptural authority or explication. The best outcome, he thought, would be a very swift and immediate American invasion of Iran.
The arguments about genocide, terrorism, and WMD—in all of which I believe the Bush administration had (and has) considerable right on its side—are all essentially secondary to the overarching question: Does there exist in the Middle East a real constituency for pluralism and against theocracy and dictatorship. And can the exercise of outside force hope to release and encourage these elements?
Michael Ubaldi, October 5, 2003.
The Dow Jones isn't the only market to be riding a steady, upward slope: Asian stocks rose this week, with benchmarks in Japan, Singapore, South Korea and Australia having their biggest gains in at least six weeks.
Michael Ubaldi, October 5, 2003.
Just like an ally: The government is considering a plan to provide around $5 billion, or about 550 billion yen, to help reconstruct Iraq in the four years beginning in fiscal 2004, government sources said Saturday.
Michael Ubaldi, September 24, 2003.
Another speech was made to the United Nations General Assembly on Tuesday, September 24th: Japanese Foreign Minister Yoriko Kawaguchi took North Korea to task at the UN General Assembly, calling on Pyongyang to abandon its nuclear weapons programme.
Japan is also considering loosening military restrictions set in place by the pacifist constitution we wrote for them. More Kawaguchi: The government should pursue a more flexible interpretation of the Constitution's war-renouncing Article 9 and allow the Self-Defense Forces to make a greater contribution to global peacekeeping efforts, according to Foreign Minister Yoriko Kawaguchi. "I think we should continue to place importance on Article 9. But perhaps there are other ways to interpret it," Kawaguchi told journalists shortly after her reappointment Monday.
Michael Ubaldi, September 20, 2003.
Koizumi rides again: Easily defeating his three challengers in Saturday's election, Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi was swept to victory for another term at the helm of the Liberal Democratic Party. As the Wall Street Journal cautiously observed last week, Koizumi will have won enough political capital to do just that - follow through with the reforms he's promised for two years. The international community is likely to readily rise with America's economic incline alone - but their markets could certainly benefit from a sobering Japan. Go to, Mr. Koizumi. |