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Michael Ubaldi, December 10, 2003.
Sporadic clashes rocked, today, several provincial cities, such as, Esfahan, Hamadan, Mashad, Ahwaz, Oroomiah (former Rezai-e) and Shiraz as students came out of the universities, despited the formal interdiction, and rallied to hundreds of supporters.
Posters and tracts that were distributed had many slogans in favor of US intereference in Iran. A poster read "Establish democracy with American boots," another one read "foreign oppression is preferable to domestic oppression" . The cover of a student magazine carried by everyone stated "Establishing democracy and freedom has the highest value even if its through occupation and foreign interference".
Michael Ubaldi, December 9, 2003.
This is disappointing but ultimately, unsurprising. The status quo sought by detente is still alive in the United States government. We will probably not see a ideologically reasoned policy towards Taiwan or Israel from the Baby Boomers. Bill Kristol (yes, much more reliable on foreign policy matters) is simple in his assessment: it's appeasement, and a mistake. I hope Taiwan will have none of it. BUT...: Old dogs aren't totally hopeless on new world orders. (Via Andrew Sullivan.) TAIWAN REDUX: Apparently, behind-the-scenes talks were not without a reiteration of America's defense of Taiwan in the event of Chinese aggression. Moreover, I just overheard the president's statement earlier today of the White House's disapproving look towards referendums on independence: it sounded pretty forced. The question is, then, when will administration policy match the president's heart? Michael Ubaldi, December 3, 2003.
There is talk of a stunning reversal of White House - and, indeed, American - policy towards Taiwan. Bill Kristol: [A]ccording to numerous government sources, the senior director for Asian affairs at the National Security Council, James Moriarty, and Doug Paal, the de facto U.S. ambassador to Taiwan, are urging President Bush to declare, privately and perhaps publicly, that the United States opposes Taiwan's independence. This would be a significant change in America's so-called "One-China Policy," a change very much in Beijing's favor.
Not suprisingly, both conservative publications warn that such a decision would not only risk escalating tensions between the two Pacific nations, but would stand as flatly contradictory to the president's overriding foreign policy of spreading democracy. Appeasing the world's most powerful totalitarian state does not exactly jive. Here's where the situation gets interesting: the Journal, perhaps trying to be fair to the interests of Paal and Moriarty, did a bit of an overreach in describing Taiwan's confrontation with China. Here it is, draped across about five paragraphs: The U.S. policy shift is also being advocated as a way to rein in the admittedly erratic behavior of Taiwan President Chen Shui-bian. ...Mr. Chen would love to replay the events of 2000, when he rallied victory after the mainland Chinese Premier wagged his finger and told Taiwanese not to vote for him.
Michael Ubaldi, December 1, 2003.
Strict Jeffersonian democracy in the Near East, led by a nobel laureate? Iranian freedom fighter Koorosh Afshar's short commentary on the subject from last month is reprinted in National Review. Michael Ubaldi, November 28, 2003.
The military survey team for a reconstruction-skittish Japan has returned with pleasing news: [Prime Minister Koizumi's] defense chief's comments suggested the government may be satisfied with security conditions in a sector near the southern city of Samawah that Japan has been considering for a deployment that will reportedly involve more than 1,000 soldiers from the nation's Ground Self-Defense Force.
Michael Ubaldi, November 27, 2003.
Bill Federer on this day: In 1789, President George Washington proclaimed the first National Day of Thanksgiving. He wrote: "Whereas it is the duty of all nations to acknowledge the Providence of Almighty God, to obey His will... I do recommend... Thursday, the twenty-sixth day of November... to be devoted by the People of these United States to the service of that great and glorious Being, who is the beneficent Author of all the good that was, that is, or that will be." Washington continued: "that we may... humbly offer our prayers... to the great Lord and Ruler of Nations, and beseech Him to pardon our national... transgressions."
Michael Ubaldi, November 23, 2003.
This is the first in what I hope to be a continuing summary of Japanese politics, providing links, pictures and commentary from one foreign enthusiast to another. The category is entitled Doozo Yoroshiku, after the traditional political greeting yelled - usually through bullhorns - by political campaign aides for their smiling, white-gloved candidates. It's my hope that Japan's politics are as delightful as its cultural idiosyncracies, and that readers will find this informative as much as enjoyable. So, then, Doozo Yoroshiku, and read on. (Is it me, or is the irony of Japan's military being named the SDF just too much? If you agree, write to a representative and tell the Diet to fund house-sized, flying, transforming robots.) Michael Ubaldi, November 19, 2003.
John Derbyshire of National Review is a clever man with a colorful past and a rare writer's wit. What he is not, however, is a reliable source for foreign policy pontification. I believe that commentary on the subject can be done with a little knowledge plus equal parts intuition and sociological sense - or else I wouldn't do it. Derbyshire, for whatever reason, seems to maintain a terrible record of predictions and observations; the biggest flop being his "impression" that Bush, after rolling over the Taliban in record time, would stiff on Baghdad. Derbyshire was good enough to carefully and intelligently retract when the other shoe was weeks away from dropping, but one wonders how he assembled such a miscalculation in the first place - other than being a Boomer whose life has been dominated by democracies seldom in any position to challenge the polity of dictatorships, which is no fault of his own. I'd become accustomed to certain political habits throughout most of my years, too. The Soviet, 800-pound gorilla is gone, however - Russia's ominous portent aside - and the free world has been given twelve years not only to remember which countries are self-governed and which are quietly stepping on their populations' collective faces, but to reassess its posture towards those stubborn despots. Derbyshire certainly has an affinity for the Chinese, too. But why this odd observation: I'll pass on Mexico, having left it too late in life to start learning Spanish. There is a city in China I have my eye on, though. A nice place, by the sea; quiet, clean, and civilized, big enough to offer some interesting dinner companions, yet not so big as to be full of foreigners on the make. Pleasant maritime climate, great fresh seafood.
Ironically, words like that could come at no better time for all of us to be reminded what threat to freedom China is determined to represent: Raising the stakes in an already tense situation, China threatened in remarks published Wednesday that "the use of force may become unavoidable" if Taiwan pursues independence - the mainland's strongest statement in years against its archrival.
"We have good competent forces there," Armitage said as he also offered assurances that the Bush administration would provide Taiwan with "sufficient defense articles for her self-defense."
Michael Ubaldi, November 18, 2003.
This isn't my sort of line, but considering North Korea's combination of deadly armaments and criminal insanity, it could be worse: A top U.S. envoy and Japan's defense chief have agreed that "dialogue and pressure" are the best tactics for getting North Korea to give up its suspected nuclear weapons programs. The discussions have apparently provided a basis for more multilateral talks on resolving the crisis on the Korean peninsula.
Michael Ubaldi, November 12, 2003.
Colin Powell and his Undersecretary of State, Richard Armitage, are apparently - and thankfully - not reading from the same script. Powell had words for Iran's theocrat mullahs that were abnormally, er, honest for Foggy Bottom: The Iranian people want their freedom back, of this there can be no doubt...They do not want to banish Islam from their lives, far from it...They want to be free from those who have dragged the sacred garments of Islam into the political gutter...They have been imprisoned for wanting this, they have been gagged for wanting this, they have been intimidated and threatened for wanting this, some have already died for wanting this.
The hidebound clerics of Iran know what it means, too...Should they be worried? Does morning follow night? They should be.
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